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For Sunday’s game against the Patriots, many in the media and among the fans have declared a must-win for the Bears.
For must-win, it’s still early.
Still, after losing to the Commanders, the Bears likely found themselves in a must-win situation. The loss last week was just salt in the wound.
In any case, you absolutely must come out on top here.
The Bears’ playoff chances were jeopardized after a 7-2 or 6-3 start to the season due to the subsequent toughness of their schedule. Right now, that isn’t possible. Based on the opposing winning % (.548), it’s the most difficult schedule left in the NFL, according to Tankahon.com. That being the case, it’s possible that their efforts will be irrelevant.
But the season is far from over just because the Bears fell short of a 7-2 or 6-3 record; there’s always a chance they’ll make enough of an improvement to defeat one of the NFC North heavyweights they’ll face in the upcoming weeks. Considering how much superior they are at home, it could happen in Chicago.
Home field advantage, next week’s matchup against the Green Bay Packers, and a losing streak of ten games versus the Cheeseheads all add up to make this game a must-win. A two-game losing run may easily turn into a four-game losing streak if they fail to address their responsibilities this week. Everyone on the coaching staff, including the Bears executive office, is understandably concerned about a four-game losing streak in the third year of a rebuild.
The employment situation of Matt Eberflus has been the subject of much speculation this week.
WHAT THE BEARS NEED TO DEFEAT THE PATRIOTS AND WIN
On Sunday, the bears might face Yannick Ngakou.
It’s time to shake things up, because Bears is on an offensive streak.
Against Patriots, Bears Lean on a Much Revampt Offensive Line
If they suffer a home loss to the New England Patriots, one thing is certain: Eberflus will be under intense scrutiny from now on.
Who will win Sunday’s noon game at Soldier Field between the 4-4 Bears and the 2-7 Patriots? I’ll tell you why.
Defense of the Patriots Pass vs. the Bears Pass
When playing at home, Caleb Williams is a different player than when playing away from home in the past two games. He has a completion rate of 67.3% and a passer rating of 105.1 at home. When he’s free to roam, as he was in games against the Panthers, the Rams, and even the Jaguars at home in London, every receiver is actively participating and nobody is bolting off the field during plays. Although they aren’t the worst, New England’s pass defense isn’t great. Despite ranking 22nd overall in pass defense and 23rd in passer rating against, they fail to put much pressure on passers. Stathead/Pro Football Reference ranks them seventeenth in blitz percentage at 24.5%, while they rank twenty-eighth in pressure on quarterbacks at 18.4% of throw attempts. If you think Yannick Ngakoue can solve your edge rush issues, then something is seriously wrong. Bears on the Edge
Rushing Bears vs. Run-Defense Patriots
With a run defense that ranks only 26th in the NFL, the Patriots make themselves an easy target for running backs. In their last seven games, they’ve allowed an average of 159 yards per game, and in each of those games, they’ve given up at least 112 yards. The Bears’ offense finds its groove when D’Andre Swift and Roschon Johnson are given the opportunity to run. With Williams’ scrambling assistance, they ran for 202 yards in the Washington game, but they still lost. They must continue running the ball unless they are completely out of gas, as the Patriots are allowing outside rushes of more than 6 yards per carry on both sides of the field of play. When Patriots safety Kyle Dugger goes down with an injury, it hurts their defense against the run and the pass. He mimics the run defense of a linebacker. Bears on the Edge
The Patriots and the Bears’ Pass Defense The pass rush has Montez Sweat back, and the slot defense has Kyler Gordon returning to wreak havoc. The Bears’ pass defense is third in the NFL in quarterback rating against and tenth in total yards allowed. Despite Drake Maye’s impact, the Patriots’ receiving corps is lacking in talent and experience, with the exception of tight end Hunter Henry. Without Maye, the team’s passing average drops to 165.6 yards per game, while with him, it rises to 196.7. No matter who starts at quarterback for the Patriots, they have failed to throw for 150 yards in six of their last nine games. Bears on the Edge
Patriots Rushing Offense vs. Bears Running Defense
The Bears’ run defense was inconsistent throughout the season, and that was with Andrew Billings healthy. It has been difficult for them to replace Justin Jones’s sacks and fumble recoveries from last season. The return of Sweat and Gordon strengthens their run defense, but Billings has been an integral part of the unit all along, and his season is over. Despite falling behind by a significant margin, the Patriots are not hesitant to run the ball as they rank 12th in the league in carries. Antonio Gibson is a dangerous runner who can go the distance in 4.3 seconds, and Rhamondre Stevenson averages just 3.8 yards per game but is gaining tough yards. In RPO or scrambler, Maye can be the most dangerous running threat. Patriots On The Edge
Reserve Squads
A 63-yard field goal was part of Patriots kicker Joey Slye’s 12-for-15 performance this season. Slye is one of those modern kickers with enormous legs. He may encounter slightly more challenging conditions in the future when the weather begins to change. Despite this, he outranges Cairo Santos. Punter Bryce Baringer has been just as good as Tory Taylor of the Bears this year, averaging 50.1 yards and having 21 punts inside the 20-yard zone. When it comes to punt returns, the Bears aren’t nearly as dangerous as Marcus Jones of New England, who averages 15.6 yards per return. Patriots On The Edge
Coaching
Even though Matt Eberflus’ teams struggle while playing away from Soldier Field, they have won their last nine games in a row at home and employ a different strategy when playing there. At home, we haven’t made crucial strategic mistakes like not using timeouts or not keeping tacklers in bounds. To top it all off, they prevailed in the opening despite having little chance of winning. The selection of Jerod Mayo by a squad aiming to bypass Bill Belichick was perplexing. He has worked under the Belichick administration before. It would have been better if they had abandoned the whole dated look. Missing Acuta
Something without a physical form
Although playing at home should give them a significant advantage, you can’t help but worry if things will go the other way around. The Bears have a history of getting off to slow starts offensively, so they could find themselves in an early hole once again. Plus, no one boos their team more than the Eagles and Jets fans. But the Bears have a significant advantage due to the huge disparity between their passing offense at home and on the road. Bears on the Edge
End Score: 27–13 Bears, Patriots
At this very moment, the Bears could use a home game against an NFL punching bag more than any other club. Soak it up, Bears supporters; after today, it’s easy to picture them winning just one more game all season.
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